4 cars at Monterey that could break our price guide

Gooding & Company / Josh Hway

With Monterey Car Week mere days away, we’re looking ahead to the auction offerings. Some of the best and rarest cars we see all year come up for grabs at this annual gathering, and spirited bidding on special offerings can redefine the market. That’s exactly why we always look closely at these sales. The estimates provided by the auction companies aren’t always a perfect gauge for what a car might sell for, but they are helpful, so here are four vehicles which we feel have a legitimate shot of exceeding their Hagerty Price Guide values and resetting the market.

1966 Ford GT40 Mk I Alan Mann Lightweight

1966 Ford GT40 Alan Mann rear three-quarter
Gooding & Company / Josh Hway

Gooding & Company, Lot 39

Estimate: $7M – $9M

A GT40 at auction is always an occasion worth celebrating, but such a rare variant as this Alan Mann Lightweight is even more special. Just one of two lightweights completed by the Alan Mann team in England, this car is fresh out of a 15-year restoration and is offered from 40 years of continuous ownership. This provenance alone is enough to garner attention, and when you add on the fact that this may be the only time an Alan Mann GT40 will be up for grabs in the long-term future, Gooding & Company’s estimate looks appropriately high.

For comparison, the low estimate of $7,000,000 is on par with the prototype Roadster sold on two different occasions by RM Sotheby’s. The high estimate is on par with the 3rd place GT40 from the 1966 24 Hours of Le Mans. Anyone paying attention to the GT40 market will certainly be talking about this car both before and after it crosses the block.

1994 Nissan Skyline GT-R V-Spec II

Nissan Skyline R R32 front three-quarter

Bonhams, Lot 129

Estimate: $160,000 – $190,000

Simply put, at 2528 miles, this could be the lowest-mileage, cleanest R32 GT-R you’ll ever find for sale. GT-Rs are superb driving cars and respond very well to upgrades, so a lot of people drove them and upgraded them. That means finding one kept in this level of care, from new, is noteworthy. Not to mention that this example is one of 1306 V-Spec II models offered in 1994 only. Bonhams’ estimate reflects this; the low estimate is 25 percent higher than our current values, and it is cars such as this that tend to shake up the market when they sell. If you pay attention to the JDM market, this is the car to watch this year in Monterey.

2003 BMW Z8 Alpina

2003 BMW Alpina Roadster V8 front three-quarter
RM Sotheby's/Rafael Martin

RM Sotheby’s, Lot 312

Estimate: $275,000 – $350,000

Introduced in 2000, BMW’s retro-inspired Z8 perfectly captured the essence of the beautiful original 507 from the 1950s. Then, notable tuner Alpina got a hold of 555 Z8s to work over. Instead of making the Z8 more hardcore, Alpina actually cooled it a bit by softening the suspension and toning down the horsepower a bit. Normally that kind of thing would be a major turn off to collectors; however, Z8s massaged by Alpina regularly sell for more money than base examples. Low estimates for this car sit just at the top of our pricing range, but with 2900 miles on the clock, it isn’t a new in the wrapper car. We’ll be watching to see if bids reach the high estimate.

1998 Mercedes-Benz CLK GTR

1998 Mercedes Benz AMG CLK GTR front three-quarter
Gooding & Company/Josh Hway

Gooding & Company, Lot 50

Estimate: $8,500,000 – $10,000,000

The CLK GTR is a serious dream car, especially for fans of the untamed GT1 homologation cars of the late 1990s. Fulfilling the requirement for 25 street-legal examples, the CLK GTR resembles the regular old CLK in name only; the rest is pure race car. Much like the McLaren F1 LM and 911 GT1 Strassenversion, the CLK GTR is high on the list of modern, blue-chip collector cars. They’re rapidly appreciating as well. The last recorded public sale was at $4,515,000 back in August of 2018, but Gooding & Company expects this example to sell for at least double that figure. With McLaren F1 prices in the neighborhood of $20M, a sale of the magnitude of $8.5-$10M would come as no surprise.

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