9 February 2016

2016 Hagerty Hot List

Despite the fact that automakers progressively tout this period as the dawn of driverless technology, 2015 was a record year for new vehicle sales. By all objective measures, vehicles have never been better. As manufacturers continue to push the boundaries during this new golden age of automotive performance, it begs the question: Will any mass-produced vehicles built today stand the test of time and become truly collectible in the eyes of enthusiasts?

In answer to that question, we’re pleased to present our annual list of vehicles that stand out as likely collector cars within the next 25 years. In order to be considered for the “Hagerty Hot List,” the vehicle must be produced within the 2016 model year with an MSRP of less than $100,000.

The 2016 Hagerty Hot List (along with base price):

  1. Mazda MX-5 Miata ($24,915) – Since 1989, this car has consistently (and sometimes exclusively) flown the flag of the lightweight roadster. Where there used to be MGs, Triumphs and Austin-Healeys, which leaked everything from oil on the driveway to rain on the passengers, there is the bullet-proof, trouble-free Miata. And thank goodness Mazda persists. The newest generation is shorter and more nimble than the preceding model and is quickly gaining the respect of driving enthusiasts.
  2. Ford Focus RS ($35,730) –The Focus from Hell, the RS will finally reach American dealers for the 2016 model year with 350 hp, 350 lb-ft of torque, a six-speed manual and an all-wheel drive system that promises everything but the moon and a World Rally Championship trophy in every garage. Rear-biased torque distribution? Check. Grin-worthy power? Check. Hatchback practicality? Check. Look for Ford to snap up the crowd that Mitsubishi deserted when it discontinued the Evo.
  3. Chevrolet Camaro SS ($37,295) – Following last year’s debut of the sixth-generation Mustang, Chevy has once again risen to the challenge with the newly designed sixth-generation Camaro. There’s a new 2.0L turbocharged four-cylinder powertrain along with the V-6, but traditionalists will be glad to know that the SS badge remains in all its 455-hp V-8 glory.
  4. BMW M2 ($51,700) – If you need any proof of BMW’s commitment to building performance coupes that people love to buy, try searching for a pre-owned M1 Coupe. In 2016 BMW will launch that car’s successor under the M2 nameplate. It’s slightly larger, significantly sexier and equipped to bookend the M Division’s lineup in the best possible way. Fans of classics like the 2002tii and the Z3 M coupe will love it.
  5. Ford Mustang GT350R ($62,195) – As if the GT350 wasn’t enough, the “R” version of Ford’s hottest Mustang does away with everything possible to save weight – including the rear seat – and even offers wheels made of carbon fiber. Ford bred this pony with one purpose: race track victory. As they say in the financial world, past performance isn’t a guarantee of future returns, but given the collectability of the Shelby GT350R from the ’60s and even the Mustang Cobra R from 1993, we’d say this one’s a shoo-in.
  6. Alfa Romeo 4C Spider ($65,900) - We love the pureness and simplicity of the 4C. It’s a refreshing reminder that great cars don’t have to be complicated. This car is more alive on the race track than the open road, so we predict well-preserved examples to dominate the vintage races in the future. The little 4C offers performance similar to a Ferrari 360 Modena from not too long ago at a bargain price for an Italian exotic.
  7. Porsche Cayman GT4 ($84,600) – This just might be one of the most exciting driver’s cars ever to come from Stuttgart. It borrows components from the current-generation 911 GT3 and puts them to work in a smaller, mid-engine package that makes many people wonder how much further the Cayman can go. We needn’t remind you of how high-performance, low-production Porsches have done in the collector car market.
  8. 2016 Dodge Viper SRT Coupe ($89,090) – This isn’t the first year of the current Viper, but in a time when most cars are trading engine displacement for forced induction there is just something to love about the brute force of the 8.4-liter V-10. If words like “bludgeon” “eviscerate” and “trounce” appeal to you, this is your car. Because who doesn’t need a sledge hammer from time to time?
  9. Cadillac ATS-V ($60,465) – This car is built in Lansing, Mich., to do battle with bad boys like the BMW M3 and Mercedes-AMG C63. Its twin-turbocharged 3.6-liter V-6 makes an eye-watering 464 hp that you can control through an eight-speed automatic or a six-speed manual with no-lift shifting and a penchant for taking punishment. The ATS-V is proof that Cadillac ain’t just whistling Dixie; there’s serious firepower behind all the smack talk.
  10. 2016 Lotus Evora 400 ($89,900) – This is the brand’s quickest and most powerful series-produced car ever, but it doesn’t sacrifice Lotus’ trademark lightness. It’s a good indication that things are looking up in Norwich. We were worried about you for a while, Lotus. It’s good to have you back on the Hot List.

23 Reader Comments

  • 1
    Art Wegweiser Allison Park, PA February 10, 2016 at 16:20
    Some of these, perhaps, and maybe in 30 to 40 years. And a few of these are now made in enormous numbers, unlike many of our current "collectibles". Also some depends on whether the horrible concept of only robot cars allowed, comes to pass. I seem to recall an SF story where even owning a car was forbidden. Also: A Used Car Is a Used Car! That pre-owned crap is a cute dealer invention like "cash back" and other inventions- no more "rebates". Art: 1972 BMW 3.0 CSi that gets driven and my thanks to Hagerty for insuring Ilse these many years.
  • 2
    John Howald Missouri February 10, 2016 at 16:29
    How does the 1989 Chryser TC by Masaretti and the Lexus SC450 line up ??
  • 3
    Sean K. Patrick Chicago, IL February 10, 2016 at 17:09
    I doubt any car produced within the last ten years will ever make it to the Collector Status, not because they shouldn't but because they can't. Today's cars are all run by mulitple computers, these computers fail and no one will be able to repair or re-manufacture them, leaving the car inoperative - probably by it's 12-15 birthday. I see this happening already with cars of less age. Classics of today are all mechanical, not electronic and therefore repairable now and in the future.
  • 4
    Dambinskas New york February 10, 2016 at 17:30
    What about the hellcat. Makes the mustang and Camaro look lost.
  • 5
    Stan Fowler Naples,Fl February 10, 2016 at 17:34
    How could the Corvette Z06 not be on this list? With super car performance at less than super car price-has it been so good for so many years it is just forgotten ?
  • 6
    Phil Comox ,BC, Canada February 10, 2016 at 17:45
    These new cars are remarkable! I'm staying with my 66 Beaumont SD ,283, 4spd, 283 hp and the 1995 6spd Corvette Roadster. Not huge dollar cars but fun.-Car people seem to enjoy seeing them on the road The new cars are phenominal , but they do not have the same curb appeal, as mine. My next car may just be an autonomous driver, but until then ,i will drive my 2 favourite cars every sunny ,warm day, possible.
  • 7
    Edward Lisicki Las Vegas February 10, 2016 at 18:56
    Where is the Cadillac Allante and the Chrysler TC by Maserati??????
  • 8
    Dale Pennsylvania February 10, 2016 at 19:05
    Looks like a list of hot runners but I will still keep my first Mustang bought in Oct 1972 and modified through the years Mach 1 Mustang with a BOSS 351 and Trick Flow Parts four wheel disc brakes and tons of extra high performance parts and a garage full of trophies. One sweet ride.
  • 9
    Michael Bay Area February 10, 2016 at 19:06
    I'd be careful applying your current ideas onto 2015 cars and how they will be perceived in 2040. While the Baby Boomer generation really made car collecting take off, because an everyday man could collect one, don't assume those younger will. I have three nephews between 30-33 and none of them are that interested in cars. This despite being around a current group of 15 old cars and 20 old motorcycles which belong to two Baby Boomer brothers. I personally don't see that in 2040 while at the same time see many of my 1960s cars ending up crushed when I leave this planet.
  • 10
    Art Jensen Beach, Fl February 10, 2016 at 19:35
    The Honda s2000 is consipicously absent from the list. It is a serious sports car with solid performance and classic good looks
  • 11
    Rocky Florida February 10, 2016 at 19:55
    The hottest car shown is the PORSCHE (not Porshe) Cayman. If you need a proof-reader, drop me an e-mail. P.S. Mine is a Ruby Red Metallic. But, the yellow definitely works!
  • 12
    Joe Central VA February 10, 2016 at 20:10
    Glad to see the Miata and Focus. Of the lot, the Mazda is the only one I want, because it's not crazily overpowered and it's a ragtop. I'm planning on getting rid of my Mini S convertible, which though fun as all getout and pretty darned fast is not something I can service myself or see as being reliable long-term. An MX-5 / Miata of the last generation would fit the bill nicely as a car with enough spirit to drive for fun but not with so much power that I'd need a track to really test it.
  • 13
    Dan Cooper Calif February 10, 2016 at 21:39
    I think the Porsche spider should be way up there. It is a convertible GT4. Limited in numbers. Last of 3.8 sixes. Should be there over a Mazda Miata .
  • 14
    G USA February 11, 2016 at 02:09
    Okay, Hagerty some of these cars in the list are great ones, however, at least half of them are a joke! For instance, where is the Corvette Stingray, Dodge Challenger Hellcat and yes the Nissan 370z? The Miata, 4C, Lotus, Cadillac, Focus RS and M2 are ALL OVERPRICED, OVERHYPED, Girly cars! You need to come up with a better Hot List because I for one wouldn't put any of them on a top 100 Hot list!
  • 15
    Dan Suffolk, Va. February 11, 2016 at 15:14
    Obviously, these are all new cars listed above. But as the previous notes imply, there are some really nice recent cars that "could" be on a previous top 10 listing. Personally, I have a 2006 Cadillac XLR-V that is kind of fast and has some nice features. Is is a 443 HP 2 seater Hardtop Convertible! It is not a ZO-6. But it is nice to be able to put that hard top up when it gets cold. And it is quite a performer.
  • 16
    Dan Suffolk, Va. February 11, 2016 at 15:14
    Obviously, these are all new cars listed above. But as the previous notes imply, there are some really nice recent cars that "could" be on a previous top 10 listing. Personally, I have a 2006 Cadillac XLR-V that is kind of fast and has some nice features. Is is a 443 HP 2 seater Hardtop Convertible! It is not a ZO-6. But it is nice to be able to put that hard top up when it gets cold. And it is quite a performer.
  • 17
    Ed Lehighton,PA February 11, 2016 at 15:29
    where the Pontiac solstice 2006 to 2009 in your hot list ? It will likely be a collector car in 15 years.!
  • 18
    Martin Beeton Corner Brook, Newfoundland February 11, 2016 at 17:46
    Worthy choices, with some other deserving ones left out perhaps, but everyone has their favourites and not all can be included. I believe that when the car computers start to fail in a decade or two, there may be a few years lull, but there're always smart people around and eventually there'll be huge aftermarket auto electronics outlets to allow these cars to keep running in the future. Having said all that, I think I'll keep my old non-computerized Trans Am to tinker with till I can't do it any longer :-)
  • 19
    DodgeDart Ohio February 11, 2016 at 19:46
    How is it the Dodge Challenger is not on this list. Ether the SRT or Hellcat has to be a potential collectible car 25 yrs from now. I have an Challenger RT and told my son to never sell it when I am gone as in 25 years or more it will be collectible and I still believe that.
  • 20
    Dick North Caronina February 11, 2016 at 09:40
    I am staying with my Fox bodied Mustang 5.0 five speed convertible you recommended several years ago as a future collector. It has 120K miles and going strong. Fun to drive!!
  • 21
    ferd the cloud February 11, 2016 at 09:52
    From some of these comments I see that the fear of the future is still alive and well! "horrible concept of only robot cars allowed" Yes that idea is horrible - if you exaggerate it enough. Robot cars might work in tight urban areas, but they're doubtful for rural or widespread areas, and probably also doubtful for even the suburbs. People like their independence too much to give it up quickly or easily. This is a case where maybe legislators might try to force people's behavior via legislation, but they'll fail (again). "even owning a car was forbidden" Automakers and oil companies and SEMA members own too many legislators to ever allow that to pass. "pre-owned crap is a cute dealer invention" No, everybody who decides to sell a car they've own participates in this. Very few buy a car new, drive it for decades until it is totally worn out and not practical to repair anymore, and then have it crushed. Did a dealer force you to trade in? Get real. "no more "rebates"" That's a sales tactic that works, so it's not going away. Yeah they jack the price up to cover the "rebate", but that tactic is old and established too. "I doubt any car produced within the last ten years will ever make it to the Collector Status, not because they shouldn't but because they can't." If you don't like them then they shouldn't become collectible? Others may disagree. Do you fall in love with every make and model in a car show? Should the ones you don't love be banned? Enough people gravitate to cars that they remember from their youth that today's cars are likely to become collectible tomorrow (by people who are youngsters today). "computers fail and no one will be able to repair or re-manufacture" Oh please! If there is a market there will be repairmen and parts available. Somebody will probably develop newer and better computer designs that can replace obsolete ones. Don't assume that because you may lack a skill, nobody will ever develop it.
  • 22
    Bill Hamilton Oh February 12, 2016 at 11:21
    Luxury and performance in the Ford SHO. Affordable and exciting to drive. AWD 2 turbo' with 26 mpg at 80 mph. Crank up the tunes and follow the open road.
  • 23
    Fred PA February 15, 2016 at 17:45
    Seriously we see these plastic bumpered, high tech same as same as at events taking down trophies right out of the show rooms and some of their owners feel "entitled". There are literally millions of these plastic bumpered high techs on the road. 20 years from now! Maybe! For now the "uglies" of the 80's and 90's are showing up at eventsand though now qualifying as antiques since they're 20+ years old do not have the presence, the lines or the overall class of their predecessors dating back to pre 1900. I own two classics one of which will be a restomod only because it did not have original motor/tranny, it was one of 200 purpose built in 1954. The other a mid 60's fully loaded convertible is also rare and possibly one of maybe a few hundred survivor convertibles of it's line. It is just my opinion, which everyone is entitled to. I know there are many other purists like myself in this forum that probably feel exactly the same way...although the Ferrari's, Lamborhini's, Ford GT's and exotics do have their own niche due to low production numbers and visual appeal are far more worthy than the millions of plastic bumpered wannabe's that may one day be worthy of classic status if they survive that long.

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